Hint: divide the tickets into two groups of four, and then into pairs, so that the surviving ticket from each pair in the first round is put with the surviving ticket from the other pair in the same group in the second round. Then actually the pairs within the groups doesn't matter for determining which two tickets survive, which are always the lowest number from each group.
Now $4$ survives if and only if $1,2$ and $3$ are all in the opposite group. How many different ways are there to divide into groups? How many of these have a group containing $1,2$ and $3$ but not $4$?