No, they just assumed each day is independent. Without treatment, with $0.5$ percent chance per day, the chance of getting through a year is $.995^{365}=.160$ With treatment, you have $.9995^{365}=.833$.
No, they just assumed each day is independent. Without treatment, with $0.5$ percent chance per day, the chance of getting through a year is $.995^{365}=.160$ With treatment, you have $.9995^{365}=.833$.